Gallup: Obama And McCain Tied At %45

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Gallup is reporting that "the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update on the presidential election finds John McCain and Barack Obama exactly tied at 45% among registered voters nationwide." Gallup is a pretty good polling group. This is pretty impressive for John McCain. The fact is that McCain has been fighting an uphill battle against the media attention and bias toward Barack Obama. Futhermore, the current Republican President has disapproval ratings hovering around %70 which is an obvious disadvantage for the Republican candidate. Yet the polls put them as tied.

I would like to point out, however, that I personally distrust polling and media predictions. My recent memory reminds me of how the media and polls told us for an entire year that the candidates were going to be Rudy Guilianni and Hillary Clinton. But in the end everybody was wrong. McCain came in from behind despite a immigration bill highly unpopular with the Republican base that summer, and Obama swooped in to defeat the Clinton machine. So all these polls need to be taken with a grain of salt. Furthermore, the election is not until November and a lot of people are not paying attention yet. It is far too early to tell. Zogby, Gallup, and the rest of that crew should get back to us at the end of October.


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