The Polls: The Sarah Palin/Republican Convention Bounce Has Got To Have Obama Worried

I do not usually put emphasis on polls because they can end up being drastically wrong. The only poll that actually matters is the one on election day. But you have to know that the Obama people are looking at these recent polls and they certainly do not like what they see. Further, everyone assumed this was Obama's election to lose. This race is starting to look competitive, and McCain is looking like he has a really good shot. Of course all these polls are early in the game as there has still not been a single presidential or vice presidential debate. Nonetheless, it shows how brilliant the Sarah Palin pick was in reshaping this election.

RASMUSSEN REPORTS, September 14:
"The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows John McCain reaching the 50% level of support for the first time since Barack Obama wrapped up the Democratic Presidential Nomination. McCain retains a three-point advantage for the third straight day, 50% to 47%." This poll takes the Charlie Gibson interview into account and is the first time McCain has majority support.

GALLUP, September 14:
"The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update shows 47% of registered voters preferring John McCain and 45% Barack Obama."

REAL CLEAR POLITICS AVERAGE OF POLLS:
McCain %47.5, Obama %45.2.

STAR TRIBUNE MINNESOTA POLL, September 14:
Both candidates have %45. This is a typical blue state. CNN had Obama up by 12 points just before the Republican convention.

ZOGBY STATE BY STATE POLLS, September 13:
* Pennsylvania - McCain 49.1%, Obama 44.3%. This is a must-win blue state for Obama. If McCain takes Pennsylvania, the experts say he wins the election.
* Florida - "McCain has a 10-point lead and he's over 50%."
* Ohio - McCain, 49.8%, Obama 43.9%. This is a key battleground state in the election.

All this goes to show is that this election has become very close. Obama's momentum has dissipated as a result of the RNC and Palin pick. Obama can still win this thing, it is too early to tell, but he is going to have to try a little harder than he may have expected.


Tweet